SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
300 AM PDT MON SEP 20 2004

.SHORT TERM...SATELLITE/SURFACE OBS INDICATING GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...EXCEPT FOR SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUDS
ALONG NORTHERN SLOPES AND INTERIOR VALLEYS DUE TO NORTHERLY GRADIENTS.
EXPECT THESE CLOUDS TO BURN OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE. WITH EXPECTED
OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

AS FOR WINDS...NORTHERLY GRADIENTS PRODUCED SOME GUSTY SUNDOWNERS
ACROSS SBA COUNTY EARLY THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...SURFACE OBS INDICATE
WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED...SO WILL LET WIND ADVISORY EXPIRE WITH THE
MORNING ZONES. FOR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...GRADIENTS TURN TO
THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME DECENT UPPER SUPPORT INDICATED BY MODELS.
SO...WILL HAVE SOME GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH/BELOW PASSES
AND CANYONS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME...WILL KEEP ALL
WINDS BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS...ALTHOUGH WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO
SEE SOME ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS.

AS FOR TEMPS...THE COMBINATION OF RISING THICKNESSES/BOUNDARY LAYER
TEMPS AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL RESULT IN WARMING TREND FOR ALL AREAS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BEST WARMING WILL BE ALONG COASTAL ZONES WITH
SOME COASTAL SITES POSSIBLY REACHING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 90S.

OVERALL...THE COMBINATION OF VERY WARM TEMPS AND DRY OFFSHORE WINDS
WILL PRODUCE POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
VALLEYS. CURRENTLY...A RED FLAG WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS
ON TUESDAY. HOWEVER...DAY SHIFT MAY HAVE TO EXTEND THE WATCH INTO
WEDNESDAY AS CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HOT...DRY AND BREEZY.